Writing & research

A point of view on AI, backed by the work.

Research and writing on how AI is changing engineering, and how leaders should respond. The thinking is not abstract: it is grounded in a working knowledge-graph platform and eight enterprise case studies.

Full record · ORCID 0009-0004-2626-1273
01 Working paper · 2026 · engrXiv

Who Trains the Next Senior?

Managing engineering teams when AI makes code cheap.

Generative and agentic AI have made the breadth of software engineering — the plausible and conventional code — nearly free. The first casualty is the junior engineer, whose old work (the boilerplate, the well-specified tickets, the first-pass tests and debugging) was both the team's production and its apprenticeship.

Cheap breadth raises the value of two scarce human contributions: depth, the judgment of which answer is right in this system, and divergence, the perspective from outside the consensus. Left to inertia, an organization slides toward a substitution equilibrium — review theater where the signature stays but verification drains out, a starved apprenticeship, and output that converges on the model's mean.

The alternative, complementarity, is not a slogan. It is a set of concrete management moves, grounded in a worked enterprise data-pipeline case with a labor-share projection to 2032 and a clear-eyed section on the risks and conditions of reversal.

The four moves
01 Shrink the unit of review. Atomic, single-responsibility pull requests, now enforceable because the producer is an agent.
02 Tier scrutiny by consequence. Senior-led, synchronous review for high-stakes change. Async-with-agent for the rest.
03 Measure what is scarce. Verified outcome, depth transfer, and divergence, not lines of code.
04 Rebuild the apprenticeship on purpose. Juniors as directors of agents, under senior mentorship.

Fig. 1 — the cost of breadth falls toward zero while the value of judgment rises. Where they cross is where management has to change.

Co-authored with Gajendra Babu Thokala, Senior Engineering Leader at Apple
02 SSRN · 2026

A Multi-Layer Framework for Evaluating the ROI of AI Projects

Why 80% of AI projects fail, and how to be in the 20%.

Most enterprise AI programs are approved on conviction — a striking demo, a competitor's press release, the fear of being left behind — and then quietly written off. The paper starts from the uncomfortable number that roughly four in five never earn back their cost, and argues the failure is almost never the model. It is the absence of a discipline for deciding what to fund, when to stop, and how to price the risk that a project simply will not land.

Working from eight enterprise case studies, it builds that discipline into four analytical layers. An initiative moves from a go / no-go readiness check, through a decomposition of where return actually comes from and a stage-gate that releases money in tranches, to a single A-to-F grade — with a risk-adjustment table that tunes the discount rate by category, so a speculative bet and a routine automation are never valued on the same terms.

The payoff is a shared language for the funding decision. Boards get one comparable grade across competing bets, and teams get a defensible reason to stop a weak project at the next gate instead of letting it drain a roadmap for a year. It is the same framework behind the executive curriculum I teach to the C-suite.

The four layers
L1 Readiness assessment. A structured go / no-go before a dollar is spent.
L2 ROIC decomposition. Isolate where the return actually comes from.
L3 Stage-gate phasing. Release funding in tranches; exit at any gate.
L4 A-to-F scorecard. One grade a board can compare across bets, with a risk-adjusted discount rate by category.

Fig. 2 — the four layers, exploded. Eight case studies rise to the layer each one tested.

DOI 10.2139/ssrn.6732598 · Co-authors A. Hepp and S. Gandhi · Faculty sponsor Prof. Gad Allon, The Wharton School
03 engrXiv · 2014 and 2026

Drone-Megaddon

Commanding drone swarms like a real-time strategy game.

Commanding a swarm the usual way does not scale: an operator drowns the moment every drone needs its own heading, target, and rule for what to do when the plan breaks. Drone-Megaddon borrows the grammar of the real-time strategy game instead — the operator sets high-level intent, formations, objectives, and rules of engagement, and the system resolves it into the per-agent control underneath.

The idea is not new to the AI moment. The original interface was built in 2014 as a Carnegie Mellon capstone: a command layer for autonomous swarms years before the tooling to run them was widely available.

The 2026 extension, “Co-Intelligent Swarm Control with Language and Vision Models,” closes the loop with today's models. The operator can command in natural language, and the swarm can see, interpret, and adapt to a scene rather than execute a fixed script.

Twelve years apart
2014 A real-time strategy command interface for autonomous swarms, built as a Carnegie Mellon capstone.
2026 Natural-language command and visual perception added to the loop.
2014 original DOI 10.31224/6924 · 2026 extension DOI 10.31224/6987 · Co-author D. Ting
/ 04 Speaking & teaching

Translating the research for the people who set budgets.

And for the next generation of engineers.

Praxtera AI Institute
AI/ML Technical Leader · Executive education

I teach AI strategy to C-suite leaders and designed the executive curriculum for evaluating, governing, and implementing AI initiatives, grounded in the AI-ROI research. Clients include HP, Morgan Lewis, PBS, and the Philadelphia Eagles.

Eagles Care Summit 2026
Keynote · Lincoln Financial Field

Keynoted the Philadelphia Eagles' 12th annual summit on “AI for Impact: Basics to Advanced Automation,” before more than 300 community and business leaders.

Carnegie Mellon
Head TA · Web Applications Development

Supported more than 105 students, gave structured feedback on engineering practice and application security, and served as Agile Product Owner for the capstone project.

Speaking, advising, or a paper?

Open to keynotes, executive workshops, and research collaboration.

Book a talk ORCID Back to the record
Sairam Krishnan
Engineering leadership · AI & ML
Apple · Wharton MBA 2026
Pages
The record
Reach me